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Sources of Errors and Biases in Traffic Forecasts for Toll Road Concessions / Sources d'erreurs et b...
par NUNEZ Antonio
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2007
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Université Lumière Lyon 2
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Table des matières
Page de titre
Epigraphe
Acknowledgments
Introduction
1. Errors and Biases in Transport Demand Forecasts
2. Transport Forecasters' Behaviour and Overconfidence
3. Winner's Curse in Toll Road Concessions
4. Decreasing Long-Term Traffic Growth
5. Estimating the Value of Travel Time Savings
General Conclusions and Policy Implications
Appendix A Forecasters' survey questions
Appendix B. Distributions of variables in chapter 3
Appendix C. VTTS survey form
Bibliography
Résumé en français
